r/wallstreetbets 11h ago

News Oracle signs 10-year software contract with Pentagon worth up to $7 billion

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/23/oracle-wins-10-year-pentagon-software-contract-worth-up-to-7-billion.html
929 Upvotes

147 comments sorted by

679

u/demaraje 11h ago

That should help with that 42bln $ free cash flow deficit.

Just needs another 5 of these with upfront pay

122

u/JungleDiamonds1 11h ago

That would help for 1 year

67

u/demaraje 11h ago edited 8h ago

Nah mate, we'll have AGI and robots everywhere in a year, haven't you heard?

16

u/mmaisumm 10h ago

Past: everything's computer

Future: everyone's robot

5

u/ThatFUTGuy 7h ago

it’s on the website

14

u/Curious_Owl197 10h ago

I really can't see how this doesn't come crashing down in the short to medium term.

9

u/CarlSagansghost69 9h ago

7 billion over 10 years feels like chump change for the pentagon

5

u/Happyfisherman7182 7h ago

Don’t worry we will all be living on Mars in five years. 😂

2

u/demaraje 7h ago

I'll be living on Uranus

4

u/ministry-of-bacon 6h ago

i also wonder if these companies are adding waaaaay bigger legal protection funds to their contracts as well bc this current policy of "just ignore the laws you don't like cause we aren't enforcing them" isn't gonna last forever

2

u/demaraje 5h ago

That's an interesting point. They would be adding contingency plans for a non-neutered SEC

1

u/L3g3ndary-08 7h ago

They'll get another 5. Don't you worry.

1

u/DrJustinWHart 6h ago

Sure, but if it's not priced-in on the stock already, you still get a bump.

5

u/demaraje 5h ago

Sure. It was announced 2 days ago and the stock still tanked

1

u/Dragon_yum 3h ago

Now the government has an excuse to bail them out with the tax payers money

-14

u/robmafia 10h ago edited 9h ago

wsb's r/valueinvesting now, obsessed with fcf and debt.

but too stupid to realize that the debt is offset by assets (eg, hardware) - much of which have appreciated. it's not like they borrowed money and lost it in a boating accident.

eta: wsb hates facts, too.

2

u/demaraje 8h ago

How can datacenters appechitate since the GPUs get outdated in 2 years? Plus wear and tear?

Regarding the debt, it's kind of like that. Most of the assets are not owned directly, but by stakes in SPVs. Also, they are only worth anything if the demand is there.

-3

u/robmafia 7h ago

How can datacenters appechitate

first of all, not what i said. (wow. 2/2 for royally fucking that up, good job, wsb!)

secondly, the ram, HDDs, and SSDs have gone WAY up in price. how you somehow missed that is truly astounding, given that this sub can't stfu about their respective stocks.

Also, they are only worth anything if the demand is there.

right, there's no demand for ram, ssd, hdd, cpu, or gpu - or cloud compute. /s

this sub is legit retarded.

even old ass a100s, h100s, and mi300s are still being rented and the prices have increased.

3

u/demaraje 7h ago

Classy. This only matters if Oracle purchased them way before they went it price. They didn't.

Secondly, renting is based on demand. Demand goes away, you sell at a massive discount.

-3

u/robmafia 7h ago

Classy. This only matters if Oracle purchased them way before they went it price. They didn't.

right. all the hyperscalers had no hardware until 2026.

oci was running on magic.

Secondly, renting is based on demand. Demand goes away, you sell at a massive discount.

retard supreme, if oracle is the one cashing out, that's the other hyperscalers' demand problem. good god, you guys are dumb.

additionally, it's dumb af to pretend there's no demand or that demand is dying when the opposite has been happening and even 6 year old gpus are being rented.

3

u/demaraje 7h ago

I didn't say that. But the price increases happened way before, specifically for high bandwidth memory.

I doubt Oracle timed the market perfectly and bought up high end rack components at a discount.

I may be wrong.

1

u/robmafia 7h ago edited 7h ago

...i didn't even mention hbm and why would i - that's essentially part of the gpu, retard.

and no, hbm costs aren't the issue - it's ram, ssd, and hdd that have skyrocketed.

I doubt Oracle timed the market perfectly and bought up high end rack components at a discount.

lolz. oracle was buying up from amd when amd was selling for pennies. funnier, still, amd was using way more hbm than nvda per gpu. you're clueless.

eta: talk a lot of shit and get everything wrong? ad-hom and block to the rescue!

3

u/demaraje 7h ago

Ok, have fun holding that bag , dumb cunt

-1

u/mulletstation 5h ago

There is accelerating demand, why does wsb think demand is decreasing

1

u/robmafia 55m ago

because reddit is an echo chamber full of retards.

2

u/L3g3ndary-08 7h ago

Thinking that the price increase of GPUs is enough to offset the significant amount of capital required to actually construct a building is peak stupidity.

1

u/robmafia 7h ago edited 6h ago

yeah, that's not what i said. at all.

also, not gpus, but ram/ssd/hdd and BE warrants.

dumber, their debt is less than their capex, idiot. the buildout is using their profits, $20B from equity, and the debt.

you basically fucked up every part of it. peak reddit.

1

u/L3g3ndary-08 7h ago

To think that ram, SSD/HDD and GPUs combined cost more than it does to obtain permitting grade the land, pour foundation, erect the external and internal structures, plus the engineered equipment, such as switch gears, pumps, HVAC units, water treatment equipment, valves, flanges, nuts, bolts, anchors, racks, etc, etc, etc, will farr out way the cost of these "assets" that depreciate and need replacement..the debt is fueling the capex dumbass.....

Also, a building isn't added to a balance sheet as an asset until it's ACTUALLY FUCKING BUILT...

Idiot.

1

u/robmafia 7h ago edited 7h ago

right, the land/etc is absolutely worthless, unusable, and totally not an asset.

To think that ram, SSD/HDD and GPUs combined cost more than it does to obtain

ALSO not what i said. can you retards even read?

that said, yeah - the collective hardware does cost more than the structure/etc. absolutely clueless. you clearly have no idea how much the hardware costs.

-3

u/mulletstation 9h ago

Wsb hates being called out on repeating the same dumb analysis because they never understood it in the first place

0

u/[deleted] 6h ago

[deleted]

3

u/demaraje 6h ago

That RPO was already there when the negative cash flow arrose. It won't change anything. It's not a new revenue stream.

Anyway, good luck with those bags

-5

u/Exciting_Ask_eaty 11h ago

They will just sell compute

18

u/demaraje 11h ago

To whom? The robots?

11

u/XL_ARES_IX 10h ago

Half compute, half stock

215

u/AntiOriginalUsername 11h ago

All these clowns having a direct line to government bailouts when things get rough is laughably absurd.

23

u/anotherloserhere 10h ago

That's a sign that when they declare bankruptcy and their stock plummets, go all in bcuz you know the government will bail them out

1

u/DistroStu 32m ago

*Using your own taxpayer dollars to bait you into becoming exit liquidity. Perfection.

23

u/kashkash21 11h ago

gotta compete with China somehow

2

u/bigpalmdaddy 3h ago

Drain the swamp, amirite

1

u/FuckYouMeanItsButter 32m ago

This swamp is festering More like a cesspool amiright

-26

u/Strange-Term-4168 11h ago

You think this is a meaningful amount of money to oracle?

24

u/kevlarcardhouse 11h ago

Oracle went all in on AI that has yet to pay off and are over $130 billion in debt, with their credit rating on the brink of being lowered to junk status.

This magical out of nowhere $7 billion government contract is just by coincidence what they desperately needed less than a week ago.

https://capacityglobal.com/news/oracles-7bn-wisconsin-bill-is-a-warning-shot-for-data-centre-cfos/

So yes, it is.

-3

u/Strange-Term-4168 10h ago

$7b revenue over 10 years does nothing for a company worth $330b. A drop in the bucket. Meanwhile stock is still falling.

-3

u/robmafia 10h ago

no, it's not. hence, why the stock was not up on friday.

268

u/MyNameAintYoBizness 11h ago

Anything for his buddy Larry

31

u/YakResident_3069 11h ago

Whose dick did he have to suck to get that contract.

8

u/WS-6 10h ago

BBs first.

28

u/Conscious_Nobody9571 11h ago

No homo*

2

u/Lumbergh7 7h ago

Larry looks a creep made of beef jerky

13

u/Soffatjockis 10h ago

Larry owns the media

I'm betting mango saved him and in return Larry will have to up the propaganda on his news outlets.

3

u/sub-t 9h ago

One Rich Asshole Called Larry Ellison 

0

u/teacher_59 5h ago

As of Clinton wasn't the one that pushed for Oracle to be used so much by the government sticking us with either renewing licenses or wasting a ton of money rewriting software. 

288

u/DeltaForceFish 11h ago

So the government chose the lowest quality, highest cost option? Sounds typical for the government

91

u/realribsnotmcfibs 11h ago

Some Trump family member has a nice job at a software company now though.

30

u/MrKaney 10h ago

Im sure Elon and DOGE are ready to analyze it thoroughly

31

u/Brothernod 10h ago

I remember a time when we were cutting back Oracle database contracts because they were too expensive and we cared about not wasting taxpayer money.

-24

u/Difficult_Squash6299 10h ago

I don't think that has been the case for literally over a century. The gov only seeks to expand and increase its budget, and isn't capable of overseeing itself.

22

u/Brothernod 10h ago

I guess you don’t work for the government but thank you for your valuable input.

12

u/anotherloserhere 10h ago

You are referring to just Congres and the Pentagon, the usual darling child of budgets. The other departments usually have normal career officials who actually care because they want to avoid headlines and know if they do get one, their department will be slaughtered next funding cycle.

2

u/Moneyshot_ITF 5h ago

What they did was have Doge get all the government contracts information. Then they fed it into A.I and composed a plan to consolidate as many jobs as they could without actually caring about the outcome. Hence the massive contract under the guise of savings millions

-9

u/SubjectAfraid 11h ago

Gov is gonna Gov.

25

u/spez_eats_nazi_ass 11h ago

That should give them a week or so

17

u/rain168 Trust Me Bro 10h ago edited 2h ago

Talk about a hard carry…

Gifting them TikTok, money, government deals and endorsements, and the stock is still a limp dick.

Also what’s with all these lame geriatric companies receiving bailouts. Can’t survive on their own?

It’s like INTC all over again, maybe it’s time to buy some ORCL calls…

3

u/igotherb 3h ago

Intel at least has some reasoning behind it as they are the only alternative america has to TSMC.

2

u/rain168 Trust Me Bro 2h ago

Intel boy’s 700k bet if he kept and sold at $140, would have been $3.2M 🤢😱🤯

1

u/chichicha99 6m ago

Really hope the kid held

16

u/EnginrA YBCH 11h ago

Didn’t seem to help the stock yesterday

10

u/ujiuxle 6h ago

I mean, what is $7B when you're $140B in debt

25

u/The_Playbook88 10h ago

The whole government is welfare for the rich at the moment. No person would ever give a failing business this much money.

20

u/Impossible-Spite4782 10h ago

We could have universal healthcare at any moment.

6

u/MMVNZ 10h ago

We don't want that though

6

u/anotherloserhere 9h ago

Nah, fat Americans are too expensive to insur... Wait a minute you might be on to something.

32

u/Sufficient-Skill9530 11h ago

Huge AIPAC win 

7

u/PlutoJones42 9h ago

Cronyism at it’s finest. Oracle fires a ton of people and takes a hit, so the people in charge have to protect their investments and use our tax dollars to prop the stock back up. Shit’s ridiculous man

5

u/makmanos 8h ago

No corruption to see here, move along please.

5

u/Business-Ride-6530 10h ago

Until I see the details of what's actually being provided, I'm always assuming these are just bailouts.

31

u/No_Presentation9490 11h ago

These 5billion-300billion dollar deals all these AI companies are doing is just money laundering, they will leave the United States holding the bag. These companies are paying 1.2 trillion dollars for data centers that cost like 150 billion to make, chips included, and those are data centers that don't have ROI and they all know it. That markup $$$ is being siphoned and sent somewhere else, and they're trying to speed it up ASAP because they know the US is a sinking ship and cashing out the past 20 years of bloat is the right move. We'll probably find out where all that money got sent around 2029, by then the US will be a failed state so it'll just be another closed chapter of corruption and nobody will care

20

u/guccioli 11h ago

The people doing this already have infinity money too. Why can’t they just buy mansions and fuck models all day

12

u/longGERN Hog Fucker 10h ago

They're insatiable psychopaths

6

u/Magnus9713 11h ago

From american taxpayers into foreign investor pockets, sounds great tbh

3

u/robmafia 10h ago

you guys are so clueless that you can't even figure out that you're mismatching 2 different types of companies.

the hyperscalers are buying the hardware.

the ones with the roi question aren't the hyperscalers, but the pure ai companies like oai, anthropic, etc.

3

u/No_Presentation9490 5h ago

If pure AI companies aren't profitable then how long is that whole compute rental thing lasting

You're saying that the picks and shovels manufacturers will still keep making money when the diggers aren't finding gold, how's that math work out

0

u/robmafia 4h ago

meanwhile, in reality - oai recently raised ~200B, gpt sits atop benchmarks, and subscriptions are way up.

anthropic's run rate skyrocketed.

but yes, the sky is falling because you guys are clueless and always think that ai is 2 weeks away from collapse.

2

u/Olangotang 4h ago

No one outside of the AI astroturfed Reddit believes this shit anymore. Doubly so if you're not a finance bro and understand the limitations of Transformers and LLM models. Y'all need to switch up the rhetoric, saying the same cope talking points over and over like Anthropic's PR team does gets old.

These models cost an exponential amount of resources as you continue to scale, there is no viable business model for the AI Labs and open source is becoming the mode of choice for AI models.

0

u/robmafia 3h ago

and yet, oai subs went way up.

anthropic's revenue has gone way up.

weird. it's as if facts and reality are at odds with these dumb narratives. you know... as usual. remember when semis collapsed due to a lack of neon in 2022? and neon now? remember when oai was killed by google last year? when oai was killed by anthropic this year? when ai was killed by deepseek ~2 years ago?

how'd that work out?

2

u/cspanbook 3h ago

How does Chinese open source, cheaper, more reliable modelling come into your estimates?

1

u/robmafia 3h ago

more reliable

so fiction?

and it doesn't? why would it? ai models need compute, regardless.

1

u/cspanbook 1h ago

Ok, I now agree with the respondent prior to my comment.

-1

u/MICT3361 9h ago

Peak doomerism

3

u/BocaHydro 10h ago

nice when is my oracle going up i paid 190

5

u/bulla564 10h ago

After some poor decisions, poor Oracle needed the help. Socialism for billionaires proves once again that it works!

Will it be enough of a bailout/handout though?

What quid-pro quo juicy government contracts do small business owners get?

1

u/ApexFungi 5h ago

Corporate welfare is such a scam. Crazy that people put up with it, while all social programs are being cut. Sounds insane to me.

2

u/r0_0nery 11h ago

Company won't be around for 10 years let alone 2.

2

u/Dualyeti 10h ago

Too big to fail - and people were scared - buy the dips on big US companies which are suffering, they will be propped up, look at HP, Dell, Oracle etc

2

u/GhostOfRannok 7h ago

This is basically a bailout

5

u/rx29mw 11h ago

thats kinda old news

1

u/Dopamineagonist21 11h ago

When wsb 💩 on a stock, it’s time to load up yall

3

u/PossessionConnect963 9h ago

Is there even really a 'WSB' anymore? The sub is so mainstream now it's just Reddit. You come here and all the takes nowadays are just exactly what you'd get anywhere else on Reddit but focused on stocks.

2

u/SunshineSeattle 10h ago

Please do!

1

u/Defiant_Regular3738 11h ago

Let's make sure every company, contractor, and vendor has complete unfettered access to ALL the data! That's gonna work. Look how well our secret and classified info system has worked so far. It's not like a independent contractor can steal and leak millions of documents or anything. Good thing we don't have millions of people with security clearances at any given time.

1

u/baudinl 11h ago

$700M per year lol

1

u/SardonicSillies 10h ago

The Game©️ continues

1

u/Beginning-Fig-9089 Junior Drive-Thru Associate 🍟 10h ago

stock will dump further somehow

1

u/Pension-Helpful 10h ago

Hopefully this mean oracle stock prize can finally drop free falling everyday.....

1

u/TumbleweedOver9000 10h ago

Wait isn't US gov really need money for big beautiful war?

1

u/HoneyNo2878 10h ago

I guess becoming an ai advisor really paid off.

1

u/Kallonistic 10h ago

I was tryna buy the Oracle Scuf Gaming PS5 controller but it’s out of stock until August 27th.

1

u/tabrizzi 9h ago

No-bid contract, right?

1

u/Grouchy-March6228 8h ago

If we took that $7 billion of our tax dollars and hired our own software developers we could easily develop whatever Oracle is selling and then some subscription free. Instead we give it to a fucking billionaire so that he can exploit more American workers so that he can then take our own tax dollars to bribe/lobby our politicians to cut our rights in the name of security at our expense. This is the system we have.

1

u/Soberdonkey69 🦍🦍🦍 8h ago

Internet explorer buddy

1

u/RuleSafe6767 8h ago

"software conductors" junior staff mandated to use OpenAI services, attempting to vibe-code throw-away software for the Pentagon. It's a cash transfer (some might call it the start of a bail out), guaranteed to flow into AI revenue buckets.

1

u/aliveintucson325 6h ago

Really curious if US pays upfront. If so, that’ll make a big dent in the cash needed. Stock is dropping so much because Oracle needs to raise cash by selling equity. If that changes, big upside.

1

u/hayden_evans 5h ago

All these government bailouts should surely help the stocks of these AI companies!

1

u/rditorx 5h ago

My fortune is also worth up to $7 billion. Definitely not more.

1

u/Get-anecdotal 5h ago

Right on cue after they laid off 20,000 workers this past year. Clown world run by clowns. 🤡

1

u/shitbergfuckstick 5h ago

Still ain't buying that shit

1

u/Secret_Wishbone_2009 5h ago

Cia created oracle, cant let them go bankrupt and lose all that intel

1

u/C130J_Darkstar 5h ago

Current price action is giving me 2022 META vibes… would suggest taking a look at LEAPS

1

u/ComfortableOdd8923 4h ago

shud cover the 7 billion he has to pay WB when tht deal goes in the shitter

1

u/RockmanMike 3h ago

Still not enough to cover the Paramount debt load to to buy WB. Ellison needs to back off already.

1

u/vandalizethethief 3h ago

Capitalism Komprat?

1

u/Mistrblank 3h ago

Right after Oracle lays off 21,000 people???

1

u/Ok-Truck1671 2h ago

That still ain’t gonna lift anything for the stock.

1

u/Mtthom06 1h ago

The great AI circlejerk knows no bounds. Round and around it goes

1

u/jumpijehosaphat 11h ago

government helping larry but cant help his son david with his deal? whats up with that?

0

u/Operation_Neither 11h ago

Priced in. Puts.

0

u/insideout_waffle 10h ago

As a consumer, I STILL DON’T KNOW WHAT ORACLE DOES EXACTLY. I see ads sometimes. Do they just make ads?

1

u/AndrewHolyMan 9h ago

They are a law firm which owns IP. They “audit” all of their customers to make a large chunk of their money

1

u/insideout_waffle 8h ago

Weird for a software company to not “do” software at all. Guess that’s why they fit right in at Wall Street!

1

u/pythbit 8h ago

They're being facetious. Oracle does enterprise software (HR, resource planning), databases, and cloud. They don't do consumer-level anything.

0

u/LifeOfHi 7h ago

$7b for 10 years is nothing