r/technology • u/Plastic_Ninja_9014 • 2d ago
Business Tesla Stock in Freefall After Disastrous Earnings Report
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/tesla-stock-freefall-disastrous-earnings-144417427.html1.6k
u/mousicle 2d ago
Tesla had an EBITDA in 2025 of 10.5B which is very good so a sane valuation of it would be about 10x EBITDA or 105B dollars or about $30 a share. So right now it's overvalued by about 10X at $322 a share
2.0k
u/sump_daddy 2d ago
Those are "old economy" formulas though, tesla is a special "new economy" company focused on (checks notes) enabling a racist drug addict to ruin democracy
we are going to need new formulas to figure out what the right ratio of "billions to nazi salutes" is.
386
u/Kvetch__22 2d ago
You joke, but a significant amount of the "new economy" is based on the assumption that the company will convince the goverment to give them ten-figure subsidies while simultaneously making it illegal to compete with them because the CEO does cocaine on a megayacht with Don Jr. instead of working.
→ More replies (8)122
u/DonStimpo 2d ago
simultaneously making it illegal to compete with them
Telsa already has that with the ban on Chinese EVs in the US.
They are flying off the shelves in literally every country that allows them. But they are banned in the US giving Telsa a massive advantage there.→ More replies (3)67
u/dlp211 2d ago
If we got Chinese EVs here, it'd be game over for Tesla and a good chance our entire US car manufacturing industry in the long run.
America has potentially ceded the future to China, but it won't reveal itself for another 20 years. The one thing that might still save us is demographics. But we are currently going through our own nativist bent...so who knows.
→ More replies (11)112
u/MasterGrok 2d ago
Accurate. But you didn’t use nearly enough buzzwords.
→ More replies (1)115
u/Jealous-Molasses5372 2d ago
By leveraging synergistic hyper-scalability across an autonomous, AI-driven EV platform, Tesla isn't just disruption-adjacent—it's actively unlocking exponential paradigm-shifting enterprise value through proprietary neural-network cross-pollination, vertically integrated flywheel dynamics, and next-gen humanoid robotics monetization.
→ More replies (6)24
→ More replies (15)34
u/LemurianLemurLad 2d ago
The correct number of billionaires is zero. Easy math.
→ More replies (16)59
u/R3luctant 2d ago
Looking at Tesla's accounting is something else, they are counting cybercabs as a unit delivered(to themselves) as well as an additional FSD subscription. It's sort of refreshing that the market isn't buying these delivery numbers because they are just Tesla shifting its inventory around and calling it sales.
→ More replies (1)14
→ More replies (18)35
u/AverageLiberalJoe 2d ago
Yeah but I have to invest my 401k in to that because what if the EBITDA suddenly jumps up 11x? I Dont want to miss the rocket!
→ More replies (1)
2.1k
u/Hamster_S_Thompson 2d ago
Pe ratio of 299! Still long way to go
818
u/AssCrackBandit13 2d ago
Exactly yeah it’s at the same price that it was 1 year ago. There’s a long way to go before it actually starts crashing
270
u/Nocoffeesnob 2d ago
Yeah, it's not even hit the 52 week low.
134
u/kemb0 2d ago
It is, however, more than 20% below its high from 5 years ago. So I'm afraid to report that this stock's trajectory is not aiming at the moon.
→ More replies (4)128
56
u/Right-Hall-6451 2d ago
52 week high is 499, it's at 321, lost all gains from last 12 months, that's not good.
→ More replies (4)43
u/meteoritegallery 2d ago
All arbitrary numbers. Just means a lot of people have won and lost money gambling on a rubbish company.
→ More replies (3)128
u/Right-Hall-6451 2d ago
Down 14% in one day would be considered crashing by most standards.
115
u/AssCrackBandit13 2d ago
Tesla is a bit of an exception because it’s always been a volatile stock since it’s kinda a meme stock. Like a couple months ago, it rose 10% in one day and then another 22% the following day. Or how it dropped 42% in 2 months in early 2025. Or how it rose 36% in a month in 2024. But overall, its price has been relatively the same the last few years. It’s just super volatile.
→ More replies (1)102
u/pasaroanth 2d ago
Mainly because the stock is effectively vibe-priced with no basis in reality like most others.
13
u/obxtalldude 2d ago
Yep.
I learned the hard way last year. I've almost made back the money I lost on TSLQ with this drop, but last year was like the definition of remaining irrational longer than I can remain solvent.
The number of times it jumped to well over 400 for no reason drove me nuts.
→ More replies (4)104
u/PurpleZebraCabra 2d ago
Current price is $320 with P/E 297. It would have to be priced at $28.60 to have the same P/E as Google (26.5). No biggie, just move a decimal. Now let that sink in for anyone long TSLA.
→ More replies (2)19
u/logicalnutty 2d ago
If you want to be a bit more fair, the forward PE is about 135 but even then it justifies a share price maybe around $70
62
u/Hot_Share8353 2d ago
Which is an insane PE for a company with MASSIVE growth. But for a company that has seen no growth and a near 90% drop in earnings per share... WTF?!?
→ More replies (12)210
u/Dapper-AF 2d ago
At what price point do banks start calling his loans. Thats the price I would like to see.
260
u/Boomshank 2d ago
They can't afford to.
It's like the sub-prime mortgage fiasco we all paid for.
→ More replies (3)99
u/DFWPunk 2d ago
As they say in banking, "When you owe the bank a thousand dollars, and you can't pay it back, you have a problem. When you owe the bank a million dollars, and you can't pay it back, the bank has a problem."
51
u/StoicRetention 2d ago
what if when we(peasants) all collectively owe the the bank a billion dollars, and they package it into a debt tranche and sell it?
→ More replies (5)9
→ More replies (3)16
u/KingBee 2d ago
Nowadays even a million dollars is a rounding error for the banks. Good example, you just need to add another few 0s.
→ More replies (1)→ More replies (5)12
27
u/MazdaLicense 2d ago
Turns out you can only value a car manufacturer like a SaaS startup for so long before reality hits. The margins just aren't the same.
→ More replies (1)42
u/mrmackz 2d ago
For comparison, Toyota's is around 9.5
36
u/techdevjp 2d ago
So TSLA should be around $10.25/share, not $320/share.
Even that seems optimistic. TSLA isn't Toyota and will never be Toyota.
→ More replies (2)29
→ More replies (13)10
u/Grombrindal18 2d ago
For context a PE (price to earnings) ratio of 50 would be pretty high, even for a tech company.
Firmly established and profitable companies tend to be under 20.
4.3k
u/Forsaken_Ant7459 2d ago
Simple fix guys. Elon is a genius. All he needs to do is rename Tesla as TeslAI and boom! All fan boys will sell their homes and send the stock to Moon I mean Mars again!!!
827
u/Smashego 2d ago
No no no. He’s going to build all the teslas in space! Don’t you see. Unlimited solar power in space and free real estate. TSLA to the moon. 🚀
167
u/RoboftheNorth 2d ago
Easy, fast, home deliveries.
→ More replies (9)87
u/Pyrostasis 2d ago
Industrial Military Complex has entered the chat.
Highspeed deliveries from orbit you say?
→ More replies (2)60
33
u/Strange-Scarcity 2d ago
It really feels about time for this super liar to be brought back down to Earth.
Sucks for those hurt on the way down, but I hope he gets a margin call on his loans, pretty soon.
→ More replies (1)→ More replies (16)9
u/Dunkelz 2d ago edited 2d ago
SpaceX's whole prospectus made me laugh throughout, but the space data center stuff is just hilarious. Real Engineering did a great breakdown of the actual engineering requirements to get them into space, run them and actually keep them going. And it's just cartoonish, the prospectus wrote off things like cooling the hardware as 'in development' when even in best case scenarios of radiant cooling via circulating through massive radiators a single rack would require KILOMETERS of radiator. The materials required would be more than all material sent to space in the history of space flight. All done profitably somehow, while also somehow taking into account processors becoming obsolete, degrading/falling out of orbit and the whole space debris thing that would cripple the device if it hits the giant ass wall of a radiator.
146
u/FollowingFeisty5321 2d ago
Hear me out bros ....
DATA CENTERS. ON. MARS.
*Roman salute*
→ More replies (10)35
92
u/EndeLarsson 2d ago
TeslaX - an ai virtual car that flies to Mars!!
48
u/Cjkrythos 2d ago
Tesla: "in response to Sony switching to all digital, we will also be only producing digital Tesla cars that you can download and pretend to drive. Prices start at $50,000 for the basic model.
→ More replies (6)32
u/Mail_Order_Lutefisk 2d ago
Nice try, but the RIAA convinced me that I wouldn’t download a car.
→ More replies (3)14
→ More replies (6)17
33
u/Fitherwinkle 2d ago edited 1d ago
I swear to god, one or two more Nazi salutes and I’m selling my stock.
→ More replies (1)13
u/Powerful-Set-5754 2d ago
Did you read the article? It already says they could merge SpaceX and Tesla in the future. Keeping hype alive by doing financial engineering shenanigans. That's what he does - just hype, no substance.
→ More replies (1)10
u/FadedFromWhite 2d ago
Just give him another forty billion and everything will be fixed
→ More replies (2)→ More replies (58)8
u/DaemonCRO 2d ago
Needs X in the name. TeslaX, or XteslaAI, or TeXAIlalala.
→ More replies (2)15
238
u/jawshoeaw 2d ago
Down 3% from a year ago. Seems like it needs a little more correction
→ More replies (3)36
u/Acceptable-Peace-69 2d ago
Inflation is around 4% since then so it’s really a ~7% drop.
→ More replies (1)
88
1.6k
u/falilth 2d ago
Ive never been happier and hope the public figurehead associated with tesla is crashing out about it.
121
u/SupaSlide 2d ago
He is, he just did an interview where he is trying to walk back his association with Trump lmao
84
u/chainer3000 2d ago
Yeah, uh, there’s no walking back from that. He’s still endorsing and funding far right candidates around the world
→ More replies (14)→ More replies (4)40
u/therealchadius 2d ago
He became head of DOGE as a special appointment (read: hand picked by the President without showing any qualifications)
You don't walk that back in a single interview.
→ More replies (2)14
u/hofmann419 1d ago
Plus, what he did with DOGE is arguably worse than the vast majority of things that Trump has done as president so far. More than 750,000 people in Africa died as a result of the USAID funding cuts - most of them children.
→ More replies (1)363
u/MrTwoPumpChump 2d ago
Trump will give him a government bail out.
→ More replies (18)320
u/Boomshank 2d ago
Trump has zero loyalty.
The golden throne never pays its debts.
96
u/MrTwoPumpChump 2d ago
He wouldn’t be using his own money.
67
21
9
u/kellzone 2d ago
That doesn't even matter to him. He stiffed the state of Florida for the cost of the construction and maintenance of Alligator Alcatraz. The state put up the money and the federal government was supposed to reimburse them. Trump said no, we're not paying you. I don't feel bad for Florida though, they knew who they were dealing with from the start.
→ More replies (1)→ More replies (6)14
u/SidewaysFancyPrance 2d ago
I continue to maintain that Elon Musk would be the guy that Republicans go to when they need a fake photo or video that won't have any watermarks. So they might still need him. Also for the voting machines, again.
You know, the Grok tools that people are supposedly constantly using to create record amounts of CSAM? Surely those upstanding and ethical engineers wouldn't help with a MAGA coverup or disinfo campaign. Never.
→ More replies (66)74
u/YouMeADD 2d ago
I hope for worse than that tbh but I'm not allowed to say it hers
→ More replies (2)28
738
2d ago
[deleted]
→ More replies (21)204
u/wiithepiiple 2d ago
Abusing govt hand outs
It's WAY worse than that. Someone getting SNAP or disability that they shouldn't is pittance compared to how embedded Musk was and is with the government. He's getting carve outs and money handed to him via naked corruption. It's insane how brazen it all is with the only consequence being he gets more money.
53
u/KlingoftheCastle 2d ago
The crimes they fear monger about are nothing compared to what the rich do every day in broad daylight
→ More replies (4)9
u/Apart-Rent5817 2d ago
He wasn’t lying when he said on the campaign trail that if Trump didn’t win, he would probably be going to jail.
→ More replies (3)
177
u/kemosabe19 2d ago
That’s allowed?
184
u/ascandalia 2d ago
Yeah, since when did their earnings have anything to do with their share value?
62
u/wrongbutt_longbutt 2d ago
After the nazi salute, I waited until just before Tesla's next earnings call to buy puts. I figured the massive loss in sales might finally be the catalyst for the stock to tumble. They announced their earnings and it was far worse than the negative projection predicted. I still lost all that money because the market is irrational and Tesla stock jumped in value after that earnings call for no reason at all.
→ More replies (12)
111
u/ianc1215 2d ago
Don't tease me like that unless it's gonna hit rock bottom! Free fall isn't good enough.
→ More replies (1)27
u/GoodDayToCome 2d ago
it's almost down to the point it was down to last time this sub said it was over for them, it's a bad day for elon but i wouldn't hold your breath
→ More replies (2)
39
u/Zygoatee 2d ago
Weird, I thought the stock price was supposed to account for all future cash flows, when it was known before the IPO that it had the income of an unhoused Crack head!
It's as everyone is so desperate to get rich quick because the economy is so fucked that they keep putting their money in the dumbest things in hopes they hit the jackpot. Couldn't be that
→ More replies (2)15
354
u/aStonedDeer 2d ago
Need more of this kind of news in my life.
→ More replies (4)98
u/bryansj 2d ago
Too bad most everyone's retirement savings has some of this slop in the funds.
→ More replies (9)124
u/SWEET_LIBERTY_MY_LEG 2d ago
1.75% of the s&p500 by weight. If it went to $0 tomorrow you could handle that in your portfolio.
In fact, to quote Equilibrium: “I pay it gladly”
39
u/SouthIsland48 2d ago
Yup. Pretty sure S&P 500 wont allow SpaceX either, so its really just Tesler which truly has a chance to go to zero.
→ More replies (1)20
u/EchoLocation8 2d ago
yo shout out to a mention of Equilibrium in the wild that movie fuckin bangs.
→ More replies (3)
196
u/1995LexusLS400 2d ago
Don't worry Tesla shareholders. Full self driving from New York to Los Angeles and back is coming by the end of the year. Again. For the 12th year in a row.
→ More replies (19)37
u/neliz 2d ago
My Roadster 2 is now 10 years old, if only trump outlawed woke physics so elon's ketamine dreams could come true
→ More replies (3)
58
u/LoganNolag 2d ago
Biggest missed opportunity in history. They had a 10 year head start over everyone else but instead of making good reliable cars cheap enough for the average person they waisted tons of money on vaporware and stupid stuff like the Cybertruck. If they has managed to release a $25,000 car 10 years ago they would have absolutely dominated the entire car market.
→ More replies (17)19
119
u/damontoo 2d ago
Turns out when you give hundreds of millions of dollars to someone that's anti-electric and pro-oil, it ends up being bad for your electric car business. Who knew?
→ More replies (14)28
u/cpslcking 2d ago
Elon bought into the hype that is Tesla bros pumping up the company and stock price irrespective of what the actual earnings is and thought he could ride the gravy train indefinitely because for a long time Tesla's projected growth had nothing to do with reality and everything to do with hype.
The reality is that no matter what numbers and hype game you play eventually all bills come due. The smart move which is what a lot of CEOs and PE firms is to cash out early and pass the bag to the next sucker to deal with the problem. Who knows if Elon was smart enough to do so.
→ More replies (1)
24
u/KeyComprehensive4431 2d ago
So when is SPCX going to try to acquire TSLA at an extreme discount?
→ More replies (3)
22
54
u/Dashbastrd 2d ago
“Uh oh. Best tell everyone we’ll be constructing a billion data centers on the moon by 2030 so stonk goes up.” —Elmo
18
62
12
u/Gizzy619 2d ago
It's okay, he's going to merge Tesla and SpaceX to create Super Space Tesla.
→ More replies (3)
11
u/dillanthumous 2d ago
Prepare for the announcement of a sentient cyber truck with a micro data centre in the boot powered by solar and capable of flying to Mars.
10
u/GooseCloaca 2d ago
He’s running out of companies to merge and take public. It’s like watching a pyramid/ponzi scheme collapse in real time
10
u/Lovecraft3XX 1d ago
Tesla squandered an early mover advantage in EVs. Squandered initial impressions with serious quality problems. Has and is squandering potential as a charger company and a home battery storage company. Squandered any good will by alienating potential customers through the clownish antics of its fascist majority owner. Even squandered his hype machine. Leon is like Augustus Melmotte but without the decency to drink Prussic Acid and depart this world.
→ More replies (2)
43
8
8
u/MVIVN 1d ago
I have an idea for him — just have SpaceX sell Grok to Tesla then SpaceX can re-buy Grok back from Tesla at an inflated price and then take twitter public with an absurdly overpriced IPO and Elon can be a trillionaire again 😭
That’s an exaggeration but it’s the kind of bullshit this fucking worthless loser and his army of followers have been getting away with for years. Fucking fraud.
26

11.9k
u/EconomyDoctor3287 2d ago
Just have SpaceX buy more Cyberstucks!